金融学原理 | Time, money and interest rates

如题所述

第1个回答  2022-07-10
Timeline : a linear representation of the timing of potential cash flows

•It is only possible to compare or combine values at the same point in time.

•To move a cash flow forward in time, you must compound it.

•To move a cash flow backward in time, you must discount it.

Valuing a Stream of Cash Flows

Interest rate: “exchange rate” between earlier money and later money = Discount rate = Cost of capital = Opportunity cost of capital = Required return

simple interest: no interest on interest

compounding interest: interest is earned on interest

PV = FV / (1 + r)t                  ( Note: FV = PV*(1 + r)^t)

Present-Value Interest Factor (PVIF):1 / (1 + r)^t, which is the present value of one dollar received t years from now at r discount rate

net present value (NPV) : NPV = PV(benefits) - PV(costs) = PV(benefits-costs)

When a constant cash flow will occur at regular intervals forever it is called a perpetuity

When a constant cash flow will occur at regular intervals for a finite number of N periods, it is called an annuity

Growing Perpetuity : Assume you expect the amount of your perpetual payment to increase at a constant rate,g

Growing Annuity: The present value of a growing annuity with the initial cash flow c, growth rate g

•The same time value of money concepts apply if the cash flows occur at intervals other than annually.

•The interest and number of periods must be adjusted to reflect the new time period.

internal rate of return (IRR) : the interest rate that sets the net present value of the cash flows equal to zero

The Effective Annual Rate (EAR) : Indicates the total amount of interest that will be earned at the end of one year; Considers the effect of compounding; Also referred to as the effective annual yield (EAY) or annual percentage yield (APY)

The annual percentage rate (APR) : indicates the amount of simple interest earned in one year

Amortizing loans : Payments are made at a set interval, typically monthly; Each payment made includes the interest on the loan plus some part of the loan balance; All payments are equal and the loan is fully repaid with the final payment.

(e.g.mortgages and car loans)

Nominal Interest Rate : The rates quoted by financial institutions and used for discounting or compounding cash flows

Real Interest Rate : The rate of growth of your purchasing power, after adjusting for inflation

Term structure of interest rate : The relationship between investment term and the interest rate; determined by future interest rate only

Yield Curve : A graph of the term structure

term structure can be used to compute the present and future values of a risk-free cash flow over different investment horizons

Taxes reduce the amount of interest an investor can keep, and we refer to this reduced amount as the after-tax interest rate.

Interest on savings: taxable

Interest on loans: tax deductable

Bond Certificate : States the terms of the bond

Maturity Date : Final repayment date

Term : The time remaining until the repayment date

Coupon : Promised interest payments

Face Value : Notional amount used to compute the interest payments

Coupon Rate : Determines the amount of each coupon payment, expressed as an APR

Yield to Maturity (YTM) : The discount rate that sets the present value of the promised bond payments equal to the current market price of the bond

Does not make coupon payments

Always sells at a discount(a price lower than face value), so they are also called pure

discount bonds

Treasury Bills are U.S. government zero-coupon bonds with a maturity of up to one year

Risk-Free Interest Rates : A default-free zero-coupon bond that matures on date n provides a risk-free return over the same period. Thus, the Law of One Price guarantees that the risk-free interest rate equals the yield to maturity on such a bond.

Spot Interest Rate : Another term for a default-free, zero-coupon yield

Zero-Coupon Yield Curve : A plot of the yield of risk-free zero-coupon bonds as a function of the bond’s maturity date

Pay face value at maturity

Pay regular coupon interest payments

Treasury Notes : U.S. Treasury coupon security with original maturities of 1–10 years

Treasury Bonds : U.S. Treasury coupon security with original maturities over 10 years

Yield to Maturity : The YTM is the single discount rate that equates the present value of the bond’s remaining cash flows to its current price

discount : price < face value

par : price = face value

premium : price > face value

Holding all other things constant, the price of discount or premium bond will move

towards par value over time.

If a bond’s yield to maturity has not changed, then the IRR of an investment in the

bond equals its yield to maturity even if you sell the bond early.

an inverse relationship : As interest rates and bond yields rise, bond prices fall; As interest rates and bond yields fall, bond prices rise.

The sensitivity of a bond’s price to changes in interest rates is measured by the

bond’s duration: All else equal, bonds with longer maturity / lower coupon rates tend to have higher duration

Using the Law of One Price and the yields of default-free zero-coupon bonds, one can

determine the price and yield of any other default-free bond.

The yield curve provides sufficient information to evaluate all such bonds.

Issued by corporations

Have credit Risk ( risk of default : expected return will be less than the yield to maturity & higher yield to maturity does not necessarily imply a higher expected return)

Investment Grade Bonds (AAA, AA, A, BBB): low default risk

Speculative Bonds (BB, B, CCC, CC, C, D): high default risk

default spread (credit spread) : The difference between the yield on corporate bonds and Treasury yields

Bonds issued by national governments

A forward interest rate (or forward rate) : an interest rate that we can guarantee today for a loan or investment that will occur in the future

a break-even rate.

is a good predictor only when investors do not care about risk

Expected Future Spot Interest Rate = Forward Interest Rate + Risk Premium
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